Keynote Presentation
Ⅰ : Neural Adversarial Causal
AI: Learning from Heterogeneous Environments
Speaker: Dr. Jianqing Fan, Princeton
University
Jianqing Fan is
Frederick L. Moore Professor of Finance, Professor of
Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Former Chairman
of Department of Operations Research and Financial
Engineering, and Director of the Committee of Statistical
Studies at Princeton University, where he directs both
financial econometrics and statistics labs. After receiving
his Ph.D. from the University of California at Berkeley, he
was appointed as assistant, associate, and full professor at
the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (1989-2003),
professor at the University of California at Los Angeles
(1997-2000), professor and chair at Chinese University of Hong
Kong, and professor at the Princeton University (2003--). He
was the past president of the Institute of Mathematical
Statistics and the International Chinese Statistical
Association. He is the joint editor of Journal of American
Statistical Association and was the co-editor of The Annals of
Statistics, Probability Theory and Related Fields,
Econometrics Journal, Journal of Econometrics, and Journal of
Business and Economics Statistics. His published work on
statistics, machine learning, economics, finance, and
computational biology has been recognized by The 2000 COPSS
Presidents' Award, The 2007 Morningside Gold Medal of Applied
Mathematics, Guggenheim Fellow in 2009, P.L. Hsu Prize in
2013, Royal Statistical Society Guy medal in silver in 2014,
Noether Distinguished Scholar Award in 2018, Le Cam Award and
Lecture in 2021, and election to Academician of Academia
Sinica and follow of American Associations for Advancement of
Science, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, American
Statistical Association, and Society of Financial
Econometrics. His research interests include high-dimensional
statistics, data science, machine learning, financial
economics, and computational biology.
Abstract: This talk develops nonparametric invariance and causal learning from multiple environments regression models in which data from heterogeneous experimental settings are collected. The joint distribution of the response variable and covariate may vary across different environments. Yet, the conditional expectation of outcome given the unknown set of important or quasi-causal variables is invariant across environments. Our idea of invariance and causal learning is to find a set of variables as exogenous as possible across multiple environments to minimize the empirical loss. To realize this idea, we proposed a Neural Adversial Invariant Learning (NAIL) frame, in which the unknown regression is represented by a Relu network, and invariance across multiple environments is tested using adversarial networks. Leveraging the representation power of neural networks, we introduce neural causal networks based on a focus adversarial invariance regularization (FAIR) and its novel training algorithm. It is shown that one can find the invariant variables and quasi-invariant variables and that the resulting procedure is adaptive to low-dimensional composition structures. The procedures are convincingly demonstrated using simulated examples. (Joint work with Cong Fang, Yihong Gu, and Peter Buelhmann)
Keynote Panel Discussion
Panelist: Dr. Jianqing Fan,
Princeton University
Jianqing Fan is
Frederick L. Moore Professor of Finance, Professor of
Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Former Chairman
of Department of Operations Research and Financial
Engineering, and Director of the Committee of Statistical
Studies at Princeton University, where he directs both
financial econometrics and statistics labs. After receiving
his Ph.D. from the University of California at Berkeley, he
was appointed as assistant, associate, and full professor at
the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (1989-2003),
professor at the University of California at Los Angeles
(1997-2000), professor and chair at Chinese University of Hong
Kong, and professor at the Princeton University (2003--). He
was the past president of the Institute of Mathematical
Statistics and the International Chinese Statistical
Association. He is the joint editor of Journal of American
Statistical Association and was the co-editor of The Annals of
Statistics, Probability Theory and Related Fields,
Econometrics Journal, Journal of Econometrics, and Journal of
Business and Economics Statistics. His published work on
statistics, machine learning, economics, finance, and
computational biology has been recognized by The 2000 COPSS
Presidents' Award, The 2007 Morningside Gold Medal of Applied
Mathematics, Guggenheim Fellow in 2009, P.L. Hsu Prize in
2013, Royal Statistical Society Guy medal in silver in 2014,
Noether Distinguished Scholar Award in 2018, Le Cam Award and
Lecture in 2021, and election to Academician of Academia
Sinica and follow of American Associations for Advancement of
Science, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, American
Statistical Association, and Society of Financial
Econometrics. His research interests include high-dimensional
statistics, data science, machine learning, financial
economics, and computational biology.
Panelist: Dr. Dan Nettleton, Iowa
State University
Dan Nettleton is
Laurence H. Baker Endowed Chair of Biological Statistics and
Distinguished Professor of Liberal Arts and Sciences at Iowa
State University. Since 2019, Nettleton has served as chair of
the Iowa State Department of Statistics, one of the first and
largest departments of statistics in the United States.
Nettleton’s research interests include statistical methods for
the design and analysis of high-dimensional biological
datasets and the development statistical learning methodology
for predictive inference. Nettleton’s research has been
supported by funding from government agencies (including NIH,
NSF, and USDA) for the past 25 years.
Nettleton currently serves as chair of the American
Statistical Association Caucus of Academic Representatives,
which consists of chairs and heads of departments of
statistics and biostatistics in the United States. In 2024, he
completed a four-year term as secretary of the American
Association for the Advancement of Science Section U
(Statistics). Honors include Fellow of the American
Statistical Association, the Iowa State College of Liberal
Arts and Sciences Awards for Early Achievement in Departmental
Leadership and Outstanding Achievement in Departmental
Leadership, the Iowa State University Margaret Ellen White
Graduate Faculty Award for excellent guidance and
encouragement of graduate students, and the Iowa State College
of Liberal Arts and Sciences Award for Outstanding Career
Achievement in Research.
Panelist: Dr. Kavita Ramanan, Brown
University
Kavita Ramanan is the
Roland George Dwight Richardson University Professor and
Associate Chair at the Division of Applied Mathematics, Brown
University. Her research interests lie in the area of
probability theory, stochastic processes and their
applications. Her research has received recognition in several
ways including a Clay Senior Scholarship, Vannevar Bush
Faculty Fellowship, a Newton award, Guggenheim Fellowship, a
Simons Fellowship, and the Erlang Prize from the INFORMS
Applied Probability Society. She is a fellow of multiple
societies, including the American Mathematical Society and the
American Association for the Advancement of Science, and is an
elected member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.
She is also interested in math communication and outreach,
having initiated the SEAM (Social Equity and Applied Math)
seminar series, founded the Math CoOp, a math outreach group,
and organized the Mathematics-Sin-Fronteras lecture series.
Panelist: Dr. Faris Sbahi,
Normal Computing
Faris is the CEO and
co-founder of Normal Computing. He is a former Google Brain
and Google X engineer, where he pioneered probabilistic AI for
some of the largest decision-making problems in the world.
Panelist: Dr. Jeremy Teitelbaum,
University of Connecticut
Jeremy Teitelbaum
is a Professor of Mathematics at UConn and Director of the
university's interdisciplinary MS in Data Science Program.
Trained as a number theorist, he received his Ph.D. from
Harvard under the supervision of John Tate and spent the first
20 years of his career at the University of Illinois at
Chicago, where his research focused on the p-adic L-functions,
modular forms, and the p-adic Langlands program. He came to
UConn in 2008 as Dean of the College of Liberal Arts and
Sciences, serving in that role until 2017 when he became
interim provost for one year. After leaving administration,
Teitelbaum was a visiting scientist at the Jackson
Laboratories for Genomic Medicine in Farmington, CT for one
year and since then has been a faculty member in Mathematics.
He has been developing his knowledge of data science and
machine learning and has worked on problems in algebraic
statistics and discrete mixture models. He took over the
directorship of the MS program in 2023.
Moderator: Dr. Yuchen Fama,
Normal Computing
Yuchen is the Chief
Product Officer of Normal Computing and Elected Council Member
of NESS. She has been working in the field of ML/AI for over a
decade and is passionate about turning research and technology
breakthroughs into useful products for the world. She obtained
her Ph.D. in Statistics at UConn in 2010.
Keynote Presentation
Ⅱ : Introducing the
Forster-Warmuth Nonparametric Counterfactual
Regression
Speaker:
Dr. Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen, University of Pennsylvania
Eric J.
Tchetgen Tchetgen is The University Professor, Professor of
Biostatistics at the Perelman School of Medicine and Professor
of Statistics and Data Science at The Wharton School at the
University of Pennsylvania. He co-directs the Penn Center for
Causal Inference, which supports the development and
dissemination of causal inference methods in Health and Social
Sciences. He has published extensively on Causal Inference,
Missing Data and Semiparametric Theory with several impactful
applications ranging from HIV research, Genetic Epidemiology,
Environmental Health and Alzheimer's Disease and related aging
disorders. He is an Amazon scholar working with Amazon
scientists on a variety of causal inference problems in the
Tech industry space. Professor Tchetgen Tchetgen is an 2022
inaugural co-recipient of the newly established Rousseeuw
Prize for statistics in recognition for his work in Causal
Inference with applications in Medicine and Public Health.
Abstract: Series or orthogonal basis regression is one of the most popular non-parametric regression techniques in practice, obtained by regressing the response on features generated by evaluating the basis functions at observed covariate values. The most routinely used series estimator is based on ordinary least squares fitting, which is known to be minimax rate optimal in various settings, albeit under stringent restrictions on the basis functions and the distribution of covariates. In this work, inspired by the recently developed Forster-Warmuth (FW) learner, we propose an alternative series regression estimator that can attain the minimax estimation rate under strictly weaker conditions imposed on the basis functions and the joint law of covariates, than existing series estimators in the literature. Moreover, a key contribution of this work generalizes the FW-learner to a so-called counterfactual regression problem, in which the response variable of interest may not be directly observed (hence, the name ``counterfactual'') on all sampled units, and therefore needs to be inferred to identify and estimate the regression in view from the observed data. Although counterfactual regression is not entirely a new area of inquiry, we propose the first-ever systematic study of this challenging problem from a unified pseudo-outcome perspective. In fact, we provide what appears to be the first generic and constructive approach for generating the pseudo-outcome (to substitute for the unobserved response) which leads to the estimation of the counterfactual regression curve of interest with small bias, namely bias of second order. Several applications are used to illustrate the resulting FW-learner including many nonparametric regression problems in missing data and causal inference literature, for which we establish high-level conditions for minimax rate optimality of the proposed FW-learner.
This is joint work with Yachong Yang and Arun kuchibhotla.
Keynote Presentation
Ⅲ : Everyday Statistician's
Impact: Advancing Science in Team Environments
Speaker: Dr. Ji-Hyun Lee,
University of Florida
Dr. Ji-Hyun Lee is a
Professor of Biostatistics in the Department of Biostatistics
at the University of Florida and Associate Director for Cancer
Quantitative Sciences at the University of Florida Health
Cancer Center (UFHCC). Her role at UFHCC includes providing
strategic leadership and direction and fostering rigorous and
integrated research among Cancer Center scientists. Dr. Lee
earned her master’s and doctorate in Biostatistics from the
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Her research
focuses on the design and conduct of clinical trials,
cluster/group randomized trials, methods for repeated
measurements, and best statistical practices. Dr. Lee is an
elected Fellow of the American Statistical Association (ASA);
and a certified professional statistician (PStat®) through the
ASA. In 2023, Dr. Lee was elected as the 120th President of
the ASA. She serves as the ASA President-Elect in 2024 and
will serve as President in 2025.
Abstract: In a world that often celebrates exceptionalism, the significant contributions of everyday individuals are frequently overlooked. Terms like 'exceptional' and 'outstanding,' often emphasized in grant critiques, may overshadow the vital roles played by the majority. Inspired by a scene in the movie Barbie, where the voice of an ordinary person makes a profound impact, I explore the invaluable yet frequently invisible contributions of everyday statisticians. As an everyday biostatistician, collaborator, and team scientist, I will share personal anecdotes and professional insights demonstrating how statistical thinking and collaborative leadership significantly advance science and improve patient care. Furthermore, as the incoming 2025 President of the American Statistical Association, I will outline my strategic initiatives aimed at building strong bridges within the ASA community and beyond. These initiatives emphasize the essential roles of all 'everyday' professionals and highlight the importance of diverse perspectives and the appreciation of data and statistics in this new AI era.
Banquet Talk : AI
and Society – Opportunities and Challenges
Speaker: Dr. Eric Kolaczyk, McGill
Computational and Data Systems Initiative (CDSI)
Eric Kolaczyk is a
professor in the Department of Mathematics and Statistics, and
inaugural director of the McGill Computational and Data
Systems Initiative (CDSI). He is also an associate academic
member of Mila, the Quebec AI Institute. His research is
focused at the point of convergence where statistical and
machine learning theory and methods support human endeavors
enabled by computing and engineered systems, frequently from a
network-based perspective of systems science. He collaborates
regularly on problems in computational biology, computational
neuroscience and, most recently, AI-assisted chemistry and
materials science. He has published over 100 articles,
including several books on the topic of network analysis. As
an associate editor, he has served on the boards of JASA and
JRSS-B in statistics, IEEE IP and TNSE in engineering, and
SIMODS in mathematics. He formerly served as co-chair of the
US National Academies of Sciences, Medicine, and Engineering
Roundtable on Data Science Education. He is an elected fellow
of the AAAS, ASA, and IMS, an elected senior member of the
IEEE, and an elected member of the ISI.
Abstract: The interface where rapid AI development meets societal structures, mechanisms and norms is both filled with potential and fraught with concerns. Successfully navigating this interface arguably is one of the greatest challenges we face today. Statisticians and data scientists have a critical role to play in responding to this challenge, but the magnitude of our impact likely will be in direct proportion to the extent to which we engage deeply and simultaneously with multiple other fields. Such engagement is hard and requires us to rethink both our educational and research priorities. I will share some thoughts on these issues, drawing in part on my involvement setting up the new McGill Collaborative for AI and Society (McCAIS).